Tuesday, February 23, 2016

What is this Presidential election really about?

Dear Friends,

There are many very important issues in the current Presidential election including income inequality, institutional and persistent racism, universal healthcare, gender equity, tax fairness, discrimination in the workplace, religious bigotry, women's reproductive healthcare, and the list goes on and on.  However, in my view, there are two issues that rise above all the others because they are each, in their own way, existential issues, and they are interrelated.  The two issues are global warming and America becoming an oligarchy.

There can be no question that the monied interests control the Congress and our political system.  The monied interests had disproportionate impact prior to the Citizens United decision and have almost completely taken over the political process today.  All of the campaigns of the Presidential candidates from both major political parties, except for Bernie Sanders' campaign, are funded by monied interests.  Bernie Sanders' success, despite the fact that the average donation to his campaign is less than $30 and despite the fact that his campaign has no PAC supporting it, is nothing short of a miracle.  If we do not break the control of the monied interests soon, we will have a very well entrenched oligarchy which will be difficult, if not impossible, to dislodge.  There is no way that "money controlling politics" can be changed incrementally.  The monied interests will not permit it.  Bernie Sanders is right.  Only with a political revolution can the "money in politics" problem be solved.

I have written before about the fact that climate change and global warming are the biggest threat to us (here).  Depending on who is doing the estimating, climate change is responsible for somewhere between 100,000 and 400,000 deaths worldwide per year and those numbers will be increasing for the foreseeable future regardless of any actions that we take now.  The economic cost of climate change is so staggering that I cannot comprehend the numbers.  In 2015 in the United States alone there were 10 weather events where the damages for that event were in excess of $1 billion.  Worldwide the damages caused by climate change were $1.2 trillion.  In addition there will be millions of people displaced as the sea levels rise and persistent droughts occur, which will continue to happen even if we take bold action now.

There are also substantial health risks associated with global warming.  The zika virus is the latest one to hit the news.  While it may be too early to say that the zika epidemic is caused by global warming, it is clear that the spread of the virus is facilitated by global warming, just as other health problems will be accelerated by global warming.  The following paragraphs from an article in The New York Times (here) summarize the point very well, and for sure it will not just be mosquitos that will rapidly expand the scope of health problems as the world warms.
But these same experts added that the Zika epidemic, as well as the related spread of a disease called dengue that is sickening as many as 100 million people a year and killing thousands, should be interpreted as warnings.
Over the coming decades, global warming is likely to increase the range and speed of the life cycle of the particular mosquitoes carrying these viruses, encouraging their spread deeper into temperate countries like the United States.
Recent research suggests that under a worst-case scenario, involving continued high global emissions coupled with fast population growth, the number of people exposed to the principal mosquito could more than double, to as many as 8 billion or 9 billion by late this century from roughly 4 billion today.
History is replete with examples of scarcity and shortages causing hatred, bigotry, violence and war.  When, as a result of global warming, we do not have enough water to drink and grow food, millions of people are displaced from their homes by drought and rising sea level, and rising temperatures speed the spread of diseases, we will experience even more hatred, bigotry, violence and war than we do today.

We are well past the point where incremental changes can have a significant impact on the terrible devastation of global warming.  The carbon that we have already released will increase these problems for a long time regardless of what we do now.  Incremental changes will simply delay for a few years when we hit the tipping point after which the cumulative impact of human activity will cause warming that will destroy us.  A blog by Anthony Barnosky and Elizabeth Hadly at HuffPost Science (here) entitled "Five Climate Tipping Points We've Already Seen, and One We're Hoping For" makes my point very well.  The blog discusses five tipping points that have already occurred.  The one the authors are hoping for is a groundswell of political support and will to actually make the necessary changes.  Here are excerpts from the final paragraphs of that blog:
All of these examples, and many more, indicate that the changing climate has already tipped the world into a new normal, compared to what life was like when today's middle-aged adults were born. So far, we're coping, but not without great expense. 
The costs, both in personal suffering and economic losses, will increase dramatically as new, bigger climate-triggered tipping points hit in the next few decades, if we continue business-as-usual green-house gas emissions...

While it is too late to go back from the climate-triggered tipping points we've already caused, it is not too late to avoid the more severe ones that threaten our near future. Just as solid science alerts us to impending dangers, it also maps out feasible paths to minimizing risks. In the case of climate change, the solution is quickly reducing greenhouse gas emissions to essentially zero, through replacing fossil fuels with clean energy. Studies indicate it is technically and economically feasible to replace coal, oil, and gas by 2050 with a combination of carbon-neutral approaches, including solar, wind, wave, and sustainable biofuel energy. 
That cannot be accomplished of course, without another kind of tipping point: a groundswell of popular support and political will to deal with the problem. If we do not cross that critical threshold soon, it will be too late...
The monied interests that control our political process today for the most part resist the scientific proof of man-made global warming and even those that acknowledge the science want only incremental changes so as not to disrupt the status quo in the short term.  It is clear that incremental changes will not reverse the horrific trend of global warming.

Hillary Clinton is running as the candidate for incremental change.  Bernie Sanders is running as the candidate for a political revolution with bold solutions for both of these existential problems as well as the other important issues facing us today.

I will be 70 years old later this year.  My white privilege and financial situation will protect me from the worst impacts of these two existential problems, but there will be no amount of wealth or privilege that will protect my grandchildren and all people of future generations.  We need to act now and to act boldly and radically to prevent the United States from permanently becoming an oligarchy and to leave the carbon in the ground so that our grandchildren can live in peace and harmony on an Earth that is healthy and stable.

Thanks for reading and please comment,
The Unabashed Liberal